Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ad00d452fb1a19e72f7b06f1eecc119eafcebe81a035124050393090c9d280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 2,198$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 2,073$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 31c | 1,654$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.87 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Over | 35c | 1,373$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 73c | 1,009$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 492.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 35c | 470.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 67c | 441.3$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 31c | 356.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 35c | 288.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 225$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 203.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 35c | 157.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 30c | 102.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…62cebacked Under | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 34c | 89.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 35c | 65.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 36c | 59.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 21c | 54.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 68c | 51.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 70c | 49.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 62c | 48.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 72c | 33.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…8bf9backed Under | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…19e1backed Under | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.