South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5c0a5540802ea681b6e36d36be2c6735e9cd43bd8f6ae3e1f65ad650621f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 66c | 6,448$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.65 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.93 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 34c | 2,510$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.39 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 35c | 2,138$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.38 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes | 34c | 1,985$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.77 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 3c | 999.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 913.63$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 435.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 434.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 34c | 300.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 186.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 34c | 163.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 34c | 163.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 34c | 163.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 34c | 163.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 34c | 115.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 34c | 96.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 34c | 96.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 34c | 96.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 86.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 80.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 34c | 73.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…84e1backed No | 65c | 69.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 67.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 73c | 66.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 34c | 50.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 35c | 48.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 34c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 64c | 29.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 15.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 79c | 14.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.