South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d9dbfa45bfd97474cca70de6dc726c107c9be2d15ad41868d81fc7e201e518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 14c | 5,472$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.21 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 7c | 4,078$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 751.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 18c | 344.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 253.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 10c | 128.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 18c | 126.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 18c | 118.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 14c | 110.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 14c | 110.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 14c | 110.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 14c | 110.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 18c | 109.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 18c | 109.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 18c | 103.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 14c | 102.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 14c | 102.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 14c | 102.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 14c | 102.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 14c | 102.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 14c | 95.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 18c | 95.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…9ab6backed No | 17c | 89.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 14c | 77.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 77c | 63.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c08dbacked Yes | 38c | 63.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 80c | 62.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 29c | 54.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 20c | 53.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 31c | 47.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…45dfbacked Yes | 67c | 40.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 31c | 39.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 71c | 15.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 15.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.