Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa33e17495ad71fcda575b7b76f71a95343e75703964ff2074ce5d4b7490a5930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 8,026$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Over | 25c | 3,059$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 2,389$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 62c | 1,750$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 432.43$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 75c | 372$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 358.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 74c | 342.17$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 71c | 282.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 258.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 68c | 214.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 166.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 62c | 146.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Over | 21c | 129.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 26c | 110.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 15c | 106.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 65c | 91.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1068…84e1backed Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 32c | 70.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 68c | 69.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +81%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 49.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 37c | 40.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 78c | 36.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 34c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d9…c41ebacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Under | 70c | 25.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Under | 79c | 23.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 73c | 23.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 80c | 20.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 79c | 18.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Under | 79c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Under | 77c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.