Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1642e3a2353029f67cbdf13d6f1b4962be0bd0dffc8878b2569bb1eb78511e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 45c | 1,200$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.09 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 913.16$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.18 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 634.78$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.22 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 4c | 311.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 55c | 146.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 39c | 125.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 65 | 92.3%60 W · 5 L | +17.6wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 120.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 55c | 100.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 60c | 83.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…b078backed Yes | 76c | 76.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 72.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 67.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 59.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked No | 44c | 58.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 43c | 48.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Yes | 43c | 43.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked No | 62c | 32.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed No | 55c | 23.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.