Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2f1b36f0c6587b9450e2676d22d3c4b3cf8862b73774c0de8198f59f156800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,175$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 62c | 1,081$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.96 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…82dcbacked Over | 75c | 430.19$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…43dbbacked Under | 25c | 430.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 363.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…389abacked Under | 25c | 286.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…0386backed Over | 75c | 286.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 23c | 221.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 204.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 155$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 129.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 105.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 98.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Over | 70c | 97.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 80c | 93.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 38c | 78.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 19c | 64.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Under | 39c | 58.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 57.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 76c | 46.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…35d5backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 79c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Over | 80c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Over | 78c | 15.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 80c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 80c | 13.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 80c | 12.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 80cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4178backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.