TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Fayha Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Fayha Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,478 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2bb…ea55backed Al Fayha Saudi Club63c2,000$1,260 inWon+$7406354%34 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Al Ahli Saudi Club40c1,448$581 inLost-$580.838242.7%35 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Ahli Saudi Club35c1,245$431 inLost-$430.62,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Ahli Saudi Club37c1,129$422 inLost-$422.051,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club37c1,125$417 inLost-$416.7693446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club60c401.27$239 inWon+$162.181,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Fayha Saudi Club56c400$225 inWon+$175.1821449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Al Fayha Saudi Club60c333.33$200 inWon+$133.331275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+71.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Al Fayha Saudi Club62c300$186 inWon+$11423347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Al Ahli Saudi Club38c300$114 inLost-$11421941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club45c223.04$100 inLost-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club21c206.83$43 inLost-$43.41,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club64c196.25$125 inWon+$71.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club61c144.28$87 inWon+$56.9110626.4%28 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Al Ahli Saudi Club41c121.95$50 inLost-$506737.3%25 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Al Fayha Saudi Club59c110$65 inWon+$45.2917340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Ahli Saudi Club41c98.39$40 inLost-$40.331,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Fayha Saudi Club57c93.99$54 inWon+$40.115,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Al Ahli Saudi Club41c92.51$38 inLost-$37.672759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Al Fayha Saudi Club59c84.75$50 inWon+$34.7518446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Al Ahli Saudi Club48c83.99$40 inLost-$40.0436352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club38c78.95$30 inLost-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club39c78.66$31 inLost-$30.684341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Fayha Saudi Club60c61$37 inWon+$24.231,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ea…18e7backed Al Ahli Saudi Club51c58.82$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club19c56.29$11 inLost-$10.5672144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Al Ahli Saudi Club44c38.52$17 inLost-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club71c30$21 inWon+$8.8514149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Fayha Saudi Club79c25$20 inWon+$5.251,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.