TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Kholood Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,285 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed Al Hilal Saudi Club48c5,500$2,640 inWon+$2,860.052748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club52c3,000$1,560 inLost-$1,56012050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c1,750$910 inLost-$91013154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club44c487.4$212 inWon+$275.38242.7%35 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club46c432.39$200 inWon+$232.391241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Al Kholood Saudi Club56c319.64$179 inLost-$1791741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club54c235.21$126 inLost-$125.9193446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Al Kholood Saudi Club59c225$133 inLost-$132.7521941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club41c225$92 inWon+$132.7519158.6%112 W · 79 L+19.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Al Kholood Saudi Club50c200$100 inLost-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club46c200$92 inWon+$1086323.8%15 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7721…e537backed Al Kholood Saudi Club61c176.94$107 inLost-$107.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c159.33$84 inLost-$83.541,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c150$78 inLost-$7812354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c137.1$72 inLost-$71.621,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Kholood Saudi Club39c136$53 inLost-$53.4321449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club52c120$62 inLost-$62.415454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Al Hilal Saudi Club39c105.7$41 inWon+$64.4218446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Al Kholood Saudi Club57c100$57 inLost-$577557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c80$42 inLost-$41.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club46c65.22$30 inWon+$35.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8b…8925backed Al Hilal Saudi Club45c59.4$27 inWon+$32.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c50$26 inLost-$26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club52c50$26 inLost-$26580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+81%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Al Kholood Saudi Club56c49.99$28 inLost-$27.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Al Kholood Saudi Club51c48.75$25 inLost-$24.8636352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Hilal Saudi Club49c48.75$24 inWon+$24.862,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club54c43$23 inLost-$23.221,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e53…f908backed Al Hilal Saudi Club44c37.7$17 inWon+$21.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2598…17dfbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club46c28.43$13 inWon+$15.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+107.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa01…785abacked Al Kholood Saudi Club58c28.26$16 inLost-$16.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c25$13 inLost-$1312147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x406b…ca34backed Al Kholood Saudi Club58c23.98$14 inLost-$13.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf833…9e29backed Al Kholood Saudi Club55c20.48$11 inLost-$11.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Al Kholood Saudi Club52c20$10 inLost-$10.410945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Al Kholood Saudi Club55c19.98$11 inLost-$10.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3a…4d28backed Al Kholood Saudi Club55c18.94$10 inLost-$10.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.