Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x385363395b53f7b28914df844f8ba6d28e3461b6e678702c861db0404977f059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.32 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 825.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.17 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 263.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 60c | 224.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 143.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 49c | 135.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 128.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 49c | 96.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 52c | 83.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 48c | 78.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed No | 52c | 46.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 49c | 41.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…7fc5backed Yes | 32c | 34.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Yes | 53c | 33.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Yes | 54c | 32.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 29.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.