Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba80a6b584da3cd7d27c3dcdc4e77126630a7d8b60944f8bbb20b76e6eb87823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 39c | 3,466$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.02 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 975.9$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 33c | 613.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 40c | 500.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 287.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 260.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 212.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Under | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 123.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Under | 59c | 77.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 63c | 75.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Under | 62c | 70.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 38.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 59c | 38.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 61c | 21.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 72c | 15.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.