TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over49c135,452$66,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,213.553342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under51c48,575$24,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,801.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over50c38,834$19,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,466.6810450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c33,218$17,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,650.584,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c15,858$8,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,582.340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c14,137$7,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,681.7682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c13,040$6,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,457.483,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c10,499$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,224.231,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over52c8,741$4,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.2214250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c8,402$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.731,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c7,770$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.411450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9409457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over47c4,936$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.949443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under52c4,826$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c4,825$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.2523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7304…0379backed Under51c4,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2053100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+139.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under46c4,207$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.762250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under52c3,969$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.051457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c3,035$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.6328357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under50c2,857$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.426657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under58c2,739$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.1490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c2,721$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.742,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c2,602$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.9910068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under73c1,968$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2522753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.420159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over32c1,828$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.745330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under52c1,513$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.4416660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7356051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7355750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7355749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c1,291$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.2235759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Under52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.3822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.947439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf376…b135backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4909056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over55c998.39$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.113775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c994.64$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3789050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under52c971.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.183351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5911566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under52c941.9$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.459164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c938.19$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.320360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44110759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under52c884.75$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.4523957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c834.45$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.62638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under54c812.43$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0519953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c782.78$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c750.23$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.819660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over54c646.08$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.8828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2949058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2949556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e2…dc8fbacked Over48c530.17$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over48c520.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6511741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2459660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2459354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under49c496.49$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.672737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under51c488.48$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.962951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under53c462.02$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under51c436$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5419260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over16c421.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.484719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.812863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under51c381.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.624269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x784f…60cbbacked Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under51c370$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.312066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c320.12$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.125959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c312.88$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.841,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1479163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c295.27$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8569350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe10a…07dcbacked Under52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a7…aa6bbacked Over49c290.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under51c261.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.694045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under47c260.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.17560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c248.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1219358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c221.6$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6763757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under52c205.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.612369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9422939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under50c193.94$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9410851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.635461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2520050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.