La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99db0535699d46743da7a76643096f82ed34c85cd3bbd0c93b39d77d76ddcfdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 69c | 1,002$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 712.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 395.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 183.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 72c | 166.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 69c | 123.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 31c | 101.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 31c | 101.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 31c | 101.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 31c | 101.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 61.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…17dabacked Under | 75c | 32.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 70c | 26.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.