La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd327afd5762f4f472c39140a1471eb533b78e29fa1f89fc779d121daded466f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 3,594$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.87 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 3,499$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.1 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…1c50backed Over | 38c | 3,200$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,537$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 1,605$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.11 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 46c | 1,460$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,417$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 1,383$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.21 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 48c | 1,369$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 78c | 885.59$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 23c | 788.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.1 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 744.41$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 56c | 699.7$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 63c | 555.51$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 65c | 538.36$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 27c | 466.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 387.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 46c | 380.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 48c | 379.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 73c | 270.22$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 34c | 263.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…96cbbacked Over | 21c | 218.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 195.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 54c | 180.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 63c | 173$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…0fefbacked Over | 72c | 150.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 26c | 147.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Over | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 34c | 138.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 45c | 122.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 119.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…77cdbacked Over | 66c | 115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 113.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 22c | 103.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 74c | 99.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 41c | 91.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 88.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 25c | 85.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 81.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 64.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 27c | 56.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 73c | 53.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 31c | 47.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…e34ebacked Over | 75c | 45.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Over | 28c | 44.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 71c | 41.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 41.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…5bc2backed Over | 45c | 40.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 26c | 40.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c53…f170backed Under | 29c | 39.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 37c | 29.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 69c | 26.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…892fbacked Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 56c | 24.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 21.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…9551backed Under | 75c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.