TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over34c17,230$5,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,374.9618352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under66c4,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under66c1,750$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c1,330$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.622,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over51c950.64$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.923333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under68c927.8$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.421,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c533.78$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.981,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under16c465$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.752020%4 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+247.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under66c450$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29724956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under16c449.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over32c423.09$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.72839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Under78c403.51$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over34c299.22$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6515128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over43c183.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under67c176.44$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2119659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under63c154.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8310465.4%68 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Under66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.590%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Under66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Under64c146.36$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.671850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under66c133.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.165554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under67c128.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c124.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Under80c123.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7816266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c118.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.338,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under66c110.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under71c108.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8957157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under68c108.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5619144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under73c101.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over27c95.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.883642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under66c88.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.198045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over32c85.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over54c83.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over32c80.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4426160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under66c74.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.987745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over54c68.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1783…78cebacked Under66c66.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c62.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.333,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over35c58.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2118859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked Over39c57.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.432138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over22c57.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.887254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over33c56.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4428158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.853063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over47c53.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.395234.6%18 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Over36c52.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.642128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over35c41.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under72c41.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.372,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.993033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over53c40.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.799457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.324654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.186457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under64c39.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Over37c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.051258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under66c32.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.153,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1771…dbdebacked Over38c31.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.462,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Over57c29.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.593452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Under58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6213441%55 W · 79 L-14.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under66c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under66c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b74…1e21backed Under66c22.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.344062.5%25 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under71c21.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce10…6f4cbacked Under74c21.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under61c20.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6836757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.217960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.213557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Under57c19.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under69c18.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6372350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1d…7132backed Under64c16.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under66c16.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8828665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under66c15.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.