TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under54c3,030$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.8217557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over41c1,603$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.122,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c1,587$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.622,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c1,538$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.314258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,150$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.954,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c990.63$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.677342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c869.72$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c848.48$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.37844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over48c692.81$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5514652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over46c689.13$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3173033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under77c677$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.623237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29420040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.568445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under52c552.36$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1313155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9917062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9914459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c462.22$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over47c455.32$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over48c449.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9914355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c408.61$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under51c351.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4711652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c335.24$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.711,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13815137.7%57 W · 94 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14413855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9912757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c258.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.241,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.365750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.818156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over56c201$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under52c185$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.816858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c172.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8539555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under52c172.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8510861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c172.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8512561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c162.26$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8928859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under52c162.26$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8924052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c162.26$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8916757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c154.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7423556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under52c154.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Over48c148.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.412544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under52c136.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.553658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under52c136.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.557263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c131.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7327552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under52c111.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.749352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c111.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7430057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under52c106.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0114658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6359645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5215738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.996650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1521254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over47c95.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over52c85.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.364228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c80.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.841,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.255955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over47c76.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under34c54.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over47c42.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over47c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under52c36.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.35350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under52c36.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under52c36.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.33369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under52c36.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under52c36.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.320259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.835743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over47c29.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7513846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8511164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c25.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2613748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Over46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb96…56d1backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6b…b874backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e90…a742backed Over50c23.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c79…0e32backed Over50c23.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c23.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633f…ee3fbacked Under50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a9…f6ccbacked Over50c22.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under55c22.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.082867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+50.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Under55c22.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e33…eda6backed Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8db…aa8ebacked Over50c21.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under52c21.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1712050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…8c81backed Over51c21.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767d…8976backed Under50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26c…8f19backed Under50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2612…9316backed Over50c20.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.