Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ffdbf28017e65f6f9873d66ca99b4c5c4a387e63afd61d4dd7478df8d0163c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 2,081$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.65 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,222$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 73c | 1,058$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 26c | 535.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 385.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 352$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…05a5backed Over | 77c | 230$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 24c | 194$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 180.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 23c | 85.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…973fbacked Under | 26c | 50.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 40.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…6570backed Over | 76c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…3a35backed Over | 76c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…9325backed Over | 76c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.