Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x132e4ecb470c8d651f63eacd8b9d3c06c3c19ec4c009146090f7f28fc00ec54e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 26c | 1,750$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,470$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.55 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Over | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 906.05$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.05 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 77c | 652.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 548.43$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 74c | 358.82$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 325.82$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 26c | 260.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 72c | 214$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 28c | 214$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 27c | 170.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 72c | 157$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 29c | 123.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 74c | 119.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 99.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.