TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes56c45,150$25,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,916.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c18,192$7,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.142,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes59c17,329$10,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,105.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No45c4,976$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,23910246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c3,565$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.194,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c3,556$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.282,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes60c3,238$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.3310144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes61c3,126$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.193148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Yes59c2,546$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c2,448$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No41c2,446$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.865257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No44c2,341$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.971735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8806650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Yes57c1,798$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.061376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No44c1,750$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No42c1,701$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.1520059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No40c1,567$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.1275542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c1,516$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.076,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.983641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No41c1,371$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.1775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7304…0379backed No43c1,250$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c1,216$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.7284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No41c1,043$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4108065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes59c938.85$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8520054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked No41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked No44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No43c615.34$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.521,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No44c611.29$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.972951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes57c526.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.113151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No41c512$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.29352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No42c509.4$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0928824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No40c505.97$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.396043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c499.64$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.351,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No44c491.22$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.113846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No41c480$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a35…a72fbacked No42c470$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.511942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No41c463.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2427552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes57c463.25$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2611146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19814355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed No16c431.25$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No41c424.32$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8630057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17614354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No44c399.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c388.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5658446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c353.92$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15457150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No43c349.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.431,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c349.68$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5480853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No41c345.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7223556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No41c345.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7211555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.834348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c286.76$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8969651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No41c251.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.012657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked No44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed No17c228.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c213.88$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No44c210$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.417959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No44c210$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13818928%53 W · 136 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9925648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No26c198.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2110234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c186.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.941,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No44c185$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.416858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No42c180.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2813347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No16c175.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No37c173$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.946040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4113635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No43c161$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2311652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.452955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No41c139.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.239154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No43c125.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5818651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes30c125$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.555254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.37259.7%43 W · 29 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No24c107.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397045.7%32 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Yes62c97.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes53c92.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.511,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No60c91.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.210168.3%69 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No42c89.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.84271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.