TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No35c68,079$23,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,76118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes66c32,437$21,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,048.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes65c20,824$13,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,285.873,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes65c18,476$12,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,466.5942962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c14,804$5,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,463.222,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes50c11,553$5,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,732.041540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No19c7,417$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.0914443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes66c5,728$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.491050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c2,265$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.315,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No34c1,769$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8710846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No34c1,750$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No34c1,490$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.462751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No34c1,427$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.313151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c1,114$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.931,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No34c1,097$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.833151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No41c937.05$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.893633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes51c925.17$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3315326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c768.89$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.91,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed Yes67c731.49$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No33c649.8$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.433171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No34c617.6$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes65c602.79$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.611,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29110750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes65c578.12$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.711,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes65c570.77$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes65c543.35$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1722853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No34c450$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15324956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes58c442.06$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5127133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes65c430.54$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15120846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No34c417.36$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No18c396.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…16c9backed Yes67c392.08$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Yes61c390.64$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes53c375.88$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6710039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No16c356.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6116160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6076…b218backed No40c339.23$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes58c336.62$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes64c334.8$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5313257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c307.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10216559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No35c286.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.991,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No34c268.35$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.244643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes63c245.36$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.972,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c221.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.41,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No51c219.81$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.11,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No21c214.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39ea…3d0ebacked No34c206.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes65c194.57$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8415956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes65c185.83$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8857157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes65c182.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5536757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes57c170.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.649256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes66c167.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2347758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…a45cbacked No34c151.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes68c150.06$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0411856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes66c148.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.28149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes65c147.64$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2116653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked No34c144.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.984257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No28c129.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No35c126.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.421345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No28c119.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes66c118.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3777151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb6…9ce6backed No12c110.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes61c109.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.121,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes64c108.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes65c102.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9111858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee5c…2775backed No35c99.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Yes49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No37c96.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.651654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No15c93.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9115457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes55c93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.854753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Yes62c91.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.725955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No21c87.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.523,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes65c84.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4716453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes71c83.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5837540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes65c76.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8533266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Yes53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.471050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No36c71.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.649457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes80c70.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.172774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes66c66.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.623773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3277…c653backed Yes67c65.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No39c64.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.158265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Yes47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.751060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No33c59.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6717055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.