TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$468,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes29c81,488$23,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,547.5811445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c21,915$15,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,424.742,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c15,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5003971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c14,918$11,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,001.096,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c8,903$6,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,321.082,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c8,000$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,68014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…f29dbacked No71c7,444$5,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,285.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes38c6,803$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c6,000$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes14c5,563$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.2638233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c5,012$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.6840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c4,539$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.6474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c3,500$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes43c3,369$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.3712532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No13c2,750$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes30c2,737$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.461,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No33c2,335$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.0526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4206262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.997061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes14c1,982$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.8334628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes19c1,887$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.12917.2%5 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes29c1,651$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes74c1,622$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.0496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No58c1,505$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.9556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes79c1,441$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0828736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes43c1,349$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+58.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes39c1,253$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.265135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No61c1,199$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.9113948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,100$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.1455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No67c1,099$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.8929250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1eb…c51dbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c999$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Yes22c988$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.641741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…5c5dbacked Yes44c966.4$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c956.59$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.5330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c900$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63914355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No6c898.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.92544%11 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56814354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No64c688.01$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4911555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c662.39$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No71c646$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes22c642.48$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.4710950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c608.55$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.071,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes21c604.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.327552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42612757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42613855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes29c580.75$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed No71c569.91$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.743554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c566.55$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes58c563.27$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35559445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed No12c499$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…1175backed No61c497.42$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.43666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes22c433.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.956235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No71c420$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.217959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No71c420$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No71c403.28$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…445bbacked No72c400.11$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2483464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.795238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed No51c381.51$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No71c370$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.716858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No77c331.64$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25410253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.44734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.412233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes12c317.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.032853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No75c313.41$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8820651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No61c310.32$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.320040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked No66c302.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.168040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21311457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2133026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes29c297.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.962740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes39c289.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.310232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a1b…2758backed Yes17c275.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.811631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c274.81$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Yes31c270.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes70c269.04$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.246160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No64c251.68$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.067335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes45c245.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.742462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c226.55$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No26c220$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes29c212.54$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9117337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No46c200.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42160%0 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1068…84e1backed No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes60c196.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.52825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9712239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No71c186.63$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.515850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.