Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f5c759e3dcbbec3ef8656b148512d3e844be0130c17ab216fe76127aa8f1e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portsmouth FCof Middlesbrough FC, Portsmouth FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 1,791$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Portsmouth FC | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Portsmouth FC | 66c | 655$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Portsmouth FC | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Portsmouth FC | 60c | 491$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 238.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Middlesbrough FC | 33c | 218.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Portsmouth FC | 59c | 184.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Portsmouth FC | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Portsmouth FC | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 131.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Portsmouth FC | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Portsmouth FC | 60c | 95.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Middlesbrough FC | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 72.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Portsmouth FC | 60c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portsmouth FC | 59c | 37.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Portsmouth FC | 58c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Portsmouth FC | 58c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Portsmouth FC | 58c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Portsmouth FC | 58c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Portsmouth FC | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Portsmouth FC | 61c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.