South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf0148407e30dbeb1e7db81ef7e093b9636643ae130c7447e1d95d3829e2cf20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 41c | 3,077$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.68 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 2,026$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 42c | 1,853$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.24 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,294$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.44 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 792.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 58c | 588.24$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 516.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 497.62$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.49 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 496.1$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 46c | 270.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 268.71$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 262.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 222.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Under | 58c | 149.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Under | 60c | 146.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 109.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Over | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 57c | 53.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 62c | 47.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 45c | 36.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 51c | 36.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 51c | 36.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…abe7backed Over | 40c | 35.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 62c | 34.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 34.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 49c | 32.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 60c | 32.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Under | 38c | 30.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 55c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 54c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 55c | 25.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 62c | 16.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.