South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fd9ef404221aae7fb19ca2cc5cd0d6f08bdb49810da8003529336e76a595aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 36c | 1,137$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.82 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 36c | 794.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 541.41$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 540.35$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 252.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 191.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 121.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 37c | 89.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…e66abacked Yes | 36c | 88.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked No | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 64c | 41.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 64c | 40.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 65c | 40.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 65c | 40.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 40.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 65c | 40.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…54f5backed Yes | 37c | 35.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 66c | 22.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 64c | 16.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c87fbacked No | 65c | 15.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.