South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dfd130b10eea2a070d57eaaebea183e904512b6c95dc4a309038f1496158cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Central Córdobaof CA Vélez Sarsfield, CA Central Córdoba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 40c | 673.88$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked CA Central Córdoba | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CA Central Córdoba | 60c | 608.58$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed CA Central Córdoba | 64c | 493.9$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked CA Vélez Sarsfield | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked CA Vélez Sarsfield | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 37c | 192.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed CA Central Córdoba | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 41c | 122.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed CA Central Córdoba | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 44c | 81.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked CA Vélez Sarsfield | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Central Córdoba | 56c | 68.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 44c | 65.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 38c | 57.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 59c | 47.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ba…289cbacked CA Vélez Sarsfield | 43c | 47.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 38c | 46.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Central Córdoba | 56c | 45.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…ef23backed CA Vélez Sarsfield | 44c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Central Córdoba | 56c | 28.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)this page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.