South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19887de648f56e628a2b07e4bea120c2bc874eece3777544741c9f1d135f99e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	78c	3,001$2,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.32	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1c50backed Over	57c	2,987$1,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	39c	2,437$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,476.72	1,070	47.4%507 W · 563 L	-46.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	57c	858.83$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.53	191	35.1%67 W · 124 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	37c	810.29$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.58	1,985	44.8%890 W · 1,095 L	-44.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over	70c	556.53$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	43c	401.16$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.76	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over	41c	399.94$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.98	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	34c	362.23$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.07	235	51.5%121 W · 114 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	334.74$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.75	2,388	51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over	46c	303.09$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.42	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Under	49c	257.41$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.36	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over	66c	254.73$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.71	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	57c	206.11$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.1	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over	52c	205.63$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.93	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	53c	194.33$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.49	489	22.9%112 W · 377 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	35c	186.85$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.88	571	57.8%330 W · 241 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over	52c	186.73$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	30c	185.67$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.15	193	56%108 W · 85 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	35c	185.65$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.46	281	58.7%165 W · 116 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	177.48$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.28	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Under	45c	171.91$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.55	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	69c	158.13$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.11	650	58%377 W · 273 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over	35c	155.09$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.05	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-8.7wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Under	31c	149.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.5	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under	69c	142.7$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.58	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over	29c	140.11$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.13	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over	22c	134.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-7.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	69c	121.81$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.42	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	60cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over	62c	118.35$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-14.6wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over	73c	110$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.3	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-5.0wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over	69c	106.67$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.61	191	44.5%85 W · 106 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Under	20c	99.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.41	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Over	24c	85$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	46c	84.42$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.51	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Over	62c	76.37$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.54	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over	68c	72.12$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	46c	69.46$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	143	35.7%51 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over	72c	67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over	22c	63.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	33c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	69c	51.58$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	477	56%267 W · 210 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	69c	51.5$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	449	59%265 W · 184 L	+22.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	69c	51.5$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	412	56.6%233 W · 179 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	57c	51.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.23	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96d4…a6d2backed Under	23c	50.51$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.06	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcdd…7673backed Over	69c	49.78$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.35	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under	56c	49.63$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.92	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+2.9wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under	61c	48.03$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over	69c	42.67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over	69c	41.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.46	61	59%36 W · 25 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over	36c	38.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over	69c	35.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.54	154	57.1%88 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	38c	34.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.69	102	50%51 W · 51 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	39c	34.51$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.98	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	71c	29.06$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.63	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb017…9f48backed Over	67c	21.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	71cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf55…92a2backed Over	79c	18.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	67cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Over	63c	17.26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5this page
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5Under won
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event