TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No52c2,234$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.192,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c2,176$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.611,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c1,980$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0220046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c1,748$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.745,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No71c1,072$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.884967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes32c899.25$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.763225%8 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes39c848.43$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.951,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes8c737.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes44c562.27$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.48447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes43c511.06$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.011,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd945…fbd1backed Yes68c433.93$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes42c413.44$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.472040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0888…aad3backed Yes70c352.22$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes44c329.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes30c303.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0110846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No37c300.29$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c278.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.838,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Yes52c233.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed No42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes51c226.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76a9…f96dbacked Yes69c197.53$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes34c172.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.323,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No46c161.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No71c157.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9717261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No70c149.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes70c141.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1815158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No65c136.91$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Yes74c133.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.443964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No71c118.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.818261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3218733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No72c102.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6819144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No25c99.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No71c89.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9316453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824c…e309backed Yes39c85.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked No68c84.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.093033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c73.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.661,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2b…02e8backed No54c72.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019b…4190backed Yes73c67.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes29c66.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No66c65.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.334465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No67c64.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No67c64.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0916160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c63.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.653,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.037160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed No39c59.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.892839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No40c53.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.968155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No47c51.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No47c51.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No47c51.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7744959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No47c51.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7715654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No47c51.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7715457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No47c51.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7715956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No47c51.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.997867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No48c50.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6111553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No48c50.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4736757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f86…b83dbacked Yes76c50.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.284351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No33c47.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c45.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes62c44.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.663953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No34c43.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8413023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…527abacked No39c39.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Yes29c39.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.491457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff21…d56abacked Yes59c36.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.741,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f670backed Yes30c34.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01be…00b3backed Yes50c32.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No70c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d4…a6d2backed No40c28.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No69c28.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.735660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No69c28.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7334155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No69c28.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.736842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2a6…ad64backed Yes76c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No70c27.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No71c27.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9518859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No50c24.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.452774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe4e1…74a7backed Yes59c24.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Yes66c22.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.557265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…92f2backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x083b…d867backed Yes75c19.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No71c17.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.132,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked No70c17.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.232171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.