South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x505603bb6e58df80edde044edac4d0f25c79ab257ae4c6e6e3aaed9b7eb34e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 16c | 5,198$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 4,016$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.96 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…56dfbacked Yes | 21c | 3,446$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 20c | 1,881$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.24 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 57c | 1,374$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.03 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 1,040$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.01 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 7c | 854.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 47c | 824.51$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.28 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 80c | 555.75$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 44c | 531.92$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 65c | 495.07$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 19c | 454.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 18c | 349.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 16c | 313.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 18c | 201.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 178$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Yes | 19c | 147.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 143.07$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 18c | 135.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 20c | 134.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 129.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 125.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 18c | 110.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…1dbdbacked Yes | 17c | 109.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 18c | 105.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…f8f8backed Yes | 19c | 104.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 21c | 100.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 16c | 99.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…b368backed Yes | 21c | 89.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 18c | 88.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…da1abacked Yes | 19c | 70.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 19c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 52c | 56.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 55.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 41c | 53.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 53c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 50c | 27.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.