South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe121b715cef9db40fc07159f9fde75a8e6fd10685d1e92a94318cf1f0da623a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 41c | 15,271$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,022.9 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 1,776$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.64 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 59c | 1,750$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 1,514$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,415$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.23 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,363$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 2c | 1,284$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 69c | 437.31$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 76c | 391.03$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 362$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 75c | 293.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 280.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 75c | 279.31$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 75c | 279$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.57 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 74c | 216.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 33c | 206.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 193.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 176.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 175$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 17c | 174.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked No | 60c | 145.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 135.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 135.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 67c | 125.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 77c | 117.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 116.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 99.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 97.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 60c | 87.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 86.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 77c | 84.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 78c | 81.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 65c | 75.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 78c | 68.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 68.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 20c | 49.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 63c | 48.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 45.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 40c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 78c | 43.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5a26backed Yes | 25c | 42.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 77c | 40.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…e583backed Yes | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 70c | 35.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 57c | 29.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 59c | 28.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 28.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 76c | 28.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 77c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 59c | 19.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 73c | 17.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…6389backed No | 66c | 16.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.