South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c7036877d028087947766b0eaa50d3d22ec937bba64140442c11b093dc1b3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 3,163$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.69 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 2,398$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.74 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 35c | 1,951$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,879$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 72c | 1,151$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.65 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 779.89$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 47c | 565.7$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 4c | 562.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 28c | 414.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 344.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 33c | 323.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.07 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 30c | 295.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 25c | 280.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 28c | 264.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 28c | 264.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 264.03$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 234.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 32c | 219.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 31c | 208.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes | 30c | 155.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 47c | 148.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 28c | 141.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…7be2backed Yes | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 33c | 107.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 65c | 103.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 99.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 76.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 49c | 72.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 62.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 60.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 51c | 50.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5a26backed Yes | 54c | 48.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 51c | 48.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…6011backed Yes | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 72c | 41.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 51c | 38.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 31c | 35.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 53c | 34.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 50c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 51c | 30.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Yes | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 56c | 24.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.