TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No51c73,706$37,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,011.8531349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No52c66,914$34,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,127.6930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes49c14,695$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,204.3165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes48c7,074$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.763333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c7,020$5,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.252,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes21c6,796$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes49c4,913$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.4741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes17c3,194$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.9830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes49c2,473$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.7512361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes49c2,097$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.536757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes51c1,292$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.381,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No53c1,154$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.1128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c1,103$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.961,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes49c1,051$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4815956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c1,023$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.365,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No80c971.29$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2311856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.828851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8212259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes57c551.82$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6650%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes50c381.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3626965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x2168…99fcbacked Yes27c321.04$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.051717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes17c306$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.023650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d6…961abacked Yes40c267.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes27c265.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7219144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c258.58$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.411,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No76c241.11$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c210.37$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.43,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No79c189.24$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c185.19$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f670backed Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.812236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes20c177.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes18c174.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes54c174.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.131355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Yes49c168.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.941968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No66c159.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6734155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes17c158.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes54c155.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6933658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes18c154.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.791020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c149.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.253,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No68c144$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No79c137.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5619056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No69c136.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4915…60f2backed Yes17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes48c115.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No56c111.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.717951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No70c108.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9718859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3815158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes15c103.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.523551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No49c99.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Yes49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes19c82.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.627156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes27c81.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1316453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No62c79.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.375660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No77c77.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0919955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…f078backed Yes25c76.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed No51c75.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.582445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Yes49c70.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes18c69.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8213023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes53c66.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.552040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No76c65.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes45c65.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes26c64.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes53c64.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.018433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes47c59.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2316160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c0…2c85backed Yes53c54.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Yes45c53.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes26c53.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8332936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e67…240cbacked Yes55c52.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No74c52.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.612774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Yes49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f0…5d25backed Yes54c47.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick58cpaid-81.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No52c47.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.755935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Yes47c41.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes53c40.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6611863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.416960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes43c35.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3113451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No76c34.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.448265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945e…e95fbacked Yes54c34.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed Yes45c33.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.03714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6524654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5916266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed No59c25.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.234156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3373…50c4backed Yes48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf68…e5c1backed Yes54c21.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.