South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c85ed204c8c3f0d3ed92d923750c3dc3d44a4be65054680dec21da60ae49d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 18c | 11,129$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.83 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 7c | 5,999$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 2,161$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 1,304$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.67 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 13c | 1,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 1,254$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 79c | 385.88$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 79c | 380.42$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 17c | 309.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 40c | 241.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 66c | 230.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 34c | 214$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 65c | 212.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 36c | 201.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 200.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 64c | 163.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed No | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 130.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 127.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 11c | 109.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 99.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 15c | 87.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef8…a126backed Yes | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 63c | 63.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed No | 20c | 63.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 18c | 59.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 38c | 58.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed No | 38c | 58.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…13e1backed Yes | 63c | 34.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 65c | 32.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 62c | 30.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 39c | 28.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 43c | 28.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 26.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 80c | 15.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.