South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf2d017823f51617e0c2a80a6191e06654ee08b27072524333b2ad9a523371f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 16c | 12,034$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.28 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 1,923$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.35 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 13c | 735.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 64c | 522.3$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 27c | 504.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 64c | 372.68$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 336.36$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 35c | 308.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 35c | 205.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 200.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 35c | 200.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9715backed Yes | 6c | 188.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 185.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 156.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 124.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 64c | 121.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 10c | 113.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 110.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 107.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 99.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 64c | 97.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 57.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Yes | 37c | 52.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 46.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 36c | 42.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 32.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 63c | 28.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…92f2backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…a904backed No | 64c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-13?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.