Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064b52299ad851f49eb7fd42e44af58eb7923b3c7131943143bce688c9b48b5c

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $256,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $264,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,788 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Over	51c	99,235$50,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,609.98	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under	49c	31,953$15,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,296.85	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	53c	27,034$14,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,193.85	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under	49c	19,340$9,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,863.2	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	29c	17,230$4,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,942	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	50c	16,000$7,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,080	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	50c	15,522$7,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,759.96	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	49c	10,000$4,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,080	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	49c	9,892$4,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,044.84	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under	51c	9,845$5,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,823.95	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2623…d950backed Under	50c	9,059$4,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,567.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	64c	7,997$5,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,914.98	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	46c	6,000$2,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,240	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	49c	4,344$2,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,204.62	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4900…fc5abacked Under	51c	4,115$2,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under	50c	4,110$2,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,054.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	4,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	40c	3,921$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,556.69	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x047f…6f34backed Under	49c	3,900$1,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,988.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	46c	3,510$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.38	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over	44c	2,354$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.85	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	50c	2,328$1,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,164	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	55c	2,142$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.03	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee77…7e89backed Over	50c	2,087$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under	51c	2,005$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.32	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	30c	2,003$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.83	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Under	62c	1,948$1,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	1,894$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.27	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under	52c	1,360$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.65	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	49c	1,164$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.77	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Under	49c	983.25$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.46	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over	50c	969.81$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.9	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under	49c	969.4$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.39	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	49c	900$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	49c	800$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	38c	776.74$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.81	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	16c	771.55$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.45	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	50c	769.51$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.1	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	39c	719.94$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.52	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	33c	659.63$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.68	337	37.4%126 W · 211 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	58c	645.35$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	49c	637.03$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.89	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	49c	600$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	49c	600$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	44c	595.91$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.94	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	50c	579.8$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.9	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	64c	563.43$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.3	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	47c	504.25$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-7.1wins	-0.26per pick	56cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under	49c	493.06$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.68	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over	51c	488.02$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.89	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	53c	460$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.8	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over	17c	428$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.76	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	49c	420$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.2	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	49c	420$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.2	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	48c	403.78$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.02	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	49c	370$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.7	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	69c	334.98$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.37	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Over	29c	331.95$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	51c	329.99$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.29	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	55c	327.33$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.13	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	34c	325.98$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.55	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over	39c	319.84$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.9	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Under	68c	311.74$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.86	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	52c	304.76$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.99	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Under	65c	300.84$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	56c	297.68$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.22	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over	50c	291$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	28c	271.84$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.58	126	35.7%45 W · 81 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	54c	252.1$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.14	189	58.2%110 W · 79 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	50c	250$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.25	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under	51c	248.56$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.76	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	71c	243.32$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.56	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd1e…f62bbacked Under	51c	237.89$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.57	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	49c	222.95$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.78	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under	51c	221.99$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.77	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	58c	215.11$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.33	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	40c	203.59$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.78	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under	48c	201.83$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.95	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	48c	201.83$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.95	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over	52c	194.24$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	40c	189.32$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.24	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over	53c	183.36$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under	57c	176.75$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.11	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over	52c	171.83$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.35	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Over	30c	170$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Under won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event