Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40802562d59f370cc95cd842fde20462fcb627cb275d418fac2e984762f037a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,602,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,018,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,602,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 64c | 378,615$242,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,145.97 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 288,148$68,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,590.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed No | 43c | 190,285$81,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,680.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -84%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed Yes | 58c | 188,331$109,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,719.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…7180backed No | 40c | 92,312$37,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,089.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b1…a4a2backed Yes | 79c | 58,654$46,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,432.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…6e12backed Yes | 78c | 52,836$41,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,539.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 63c | 48,473$30,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,083.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…f658backed No | 26c | 41,758$10,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,942.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…546fbacked No | 30c | 40,009$12,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,117.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 71c | 38,115$26,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,139.49 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 64c | 29,000$18,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,575.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed No | 32c | 26,528$8,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,463 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 76c | 25,950$19,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.89 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…515dbacked No | 41c | 25,000$10,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,169.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…107cbacked Yes | 65c | 19,184$12,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed No | 39c | 18,648$7,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,208.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 41c | 17,675$7,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,236.31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…5492backed Yes | 60c | 17,613$10,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 74c | 17,443$12,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…aeacbacked No | 25c | 17,231$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed No | 43c | 17,190$7,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,340.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 65c | 16,152$10,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed No | 20c | 15,783$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…67b8backed No | 41c | 15,686$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed No | 32c | 15,269$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 67c | 15,086$10,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 43c | 14,898$6,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,342.5 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…4e43backed No | 27c | 14,658$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,926.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Yes | 63c | 14,251$8,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f84…895ebacked Yes | 78c | 14,059$10,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…cb59backed No | 10c | 13,710$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…cf97backed Yes | 68c | 13,318$8,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 79c | 13,000$10,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.08 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…77e0backed No | 31c | 12,676$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked Yes | 79c | 12,174$9,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 73c | 11,243$8,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.98 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…1f58backed Yes | 60c | 10,283$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6344…fa2dbacked No | 1c | 10,198$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…42dfbacked No | 35c | 9,782$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed Yes | 71c | 9,721$6,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.66 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…6d97backed No | 25c | 9,551$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed No | 15c | 9,485$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.49 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 68c | 8,766$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.21 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…665bbacked No | 39c | 8,350$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 80c | 8,271$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 24c | 8,129$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 64c | 7,926$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 40cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…543abacked No | 37c | 7,880$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 27c | 7,791$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.29 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…4da7backed No | 33c | 7,596$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 54c | 7,400$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 65c | 7,260$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.15 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c96…468ebacked No | 42c | 7,217$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…cf57backed No | 1c | 6,630$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 35c | 6,481$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…28bebacked Yes | 65c | 6,115$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…d356backed No | 32c | 6,003$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 71c | 5,987$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d71…8dcebacked No | 9c | 5,803$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Yes | 65c | 5,803$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 42c | 5,789$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 5,739$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.2 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…eed3backed No | 43c | 5,731$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…a384backed No | 30c | 5,722$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 65c | 5,705$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.18 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…6978backed No | 31c | 5,588$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…d9c1backed No | 31c | 5,374$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…c0e2backed No | 20c | 5,217$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 60c | 5,157$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.61 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…3822backed Yes | 55c | 5,148$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…ee59backed No | 30c | 4,975$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 32c | 4,947$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…ffdcbacked Yes | 65c | 4,800$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 65c | 4,613$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 40c | 4,520$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.69 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 24c | 4,416$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.41 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…e05cbacked Yes | 66c | 4,352$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed No | 18c | 4,345$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked Yes | 69c | 4,245$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.83 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…ae6cbacked No | 18c | 4,077$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 4c | 4,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 3,852$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…74c2backed No | 28c | 3,622$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…fe73backed Yes | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940f…1deabacked No | 3c | 3,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed No | 42c | 3,462$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…6adcbacked No | 25c | 3,450$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 38c | 3,387$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.26 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…7806backed No | 18c | 3,366$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Yes | 64c | 3,340$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…5eb9backed No | 45c | 3,332$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b64bbacked Yes | 65c | 3,319$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…a600backed No | 6c | 3,284$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 63c | 3,275$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 42c | 3,189$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…bf66backed No | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e41…f050backed No | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…468dbacked Yes | 74c | 3,122$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…d787backed Yes | 64c | 3,108$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.