Will Switzerland win?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a2e94c62b7ade88de97a5a8d50487fed6d77ee59a32296d976f79c430a85ad

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2024, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $113,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $113,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes	54c	69,215$37,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,531.37	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7d…197cbacked No	44c	33,706$14,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,759.4	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b1…0726backed Yes	49c	20,000$9,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,750	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf4…7883backed No	54c	13,678$7,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,354.4	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed No	46c	12,934$5,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,014.89	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No	47c	10,011$4,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,305.81	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	46c	8,408$3,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,532.2	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x364c…b541backed Yes	56c	8,004$4,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,477.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed No	47c	4,994$2,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,646.61	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No	54c	4,338$2,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,012.91	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	46c	3,887$1,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100.47	319	44.5%142 W · 177 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed No	47c	3,716$1,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.48	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.96	153	28.8%44 W · 109 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4825…007dbacked Yes	54c	2,020$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.07	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7012…14a4backed Yes	50c	1,072$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No	45c	1,004$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.93	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf9…25a3backed Yes	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745b…ff04backed Yes	53c	714$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.72	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No	46c	531.74$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.14	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Yes	55c	470.04$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.52	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes	55c	467.95$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.37	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfb…0dfabacked No	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+130.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f21…b376backed Yes	48c	415.15$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.83	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b16…d3eebacked Yes	55c	363.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed Yes	56c	357$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bc…3e81backed Yes	55c	309.33$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6757…998dbacked Yes	57c	280.7$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed No	46c	260.87$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.87	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3970…071cbacked Yes	54c	214.81$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	62cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes	55c	200.01$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19f…e94abacked Yes	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbb…4568backed Yes	55c	179.06$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Yes	32c	153.26$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.72	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked Yes	24c	146.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9937…738fbacked Yes	54c	130.48$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.89	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477d…e691backed Yes	52c	128.09$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.65	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1de2…96a2backed Yes	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c45…9c1dbacked Yes	53c	104.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	129	59.7%77 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc738…9249backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…5ff5backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed No	46c	99.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.99	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Yes	75c	93.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c8…1d90backed Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes	55c	92.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.91	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc21…113bbacked Yes	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4046…9b9fbacked Yes	57c	89.68$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7c…eacdbacked Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee3…61bebacked Yes	56c	82.14$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes	50c	80.16$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2029…9aa5backed No	46c	78.93$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.62	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+150.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xade0…dbacbacked Yes	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9457…bdddbacked Yes	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64e…0de6backed Yes	57c	70.18$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6fb…0c67backed Yes	24c	67.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ca…7101backed Yes	54c	62.3$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-5.5wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5327…419cbacked Yes	55c	59.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…290cbacked Yes	56c	58.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x385a…e84fbacked Yes	56c	58.8$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.93	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb4…8e90backed Yes	56c	56.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27db…54d5backed Yes	56c	55.36$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099d…7e69backed No	49c	55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6b…5e27backed Yes	51c	55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5666…7949backed Yes	54c	50.26$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255f…72c0backed No	79c	49.28$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x87c8…e505backed Yes	56c	45.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…44f6backed Yes	54c	42.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes	50c	42.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa950…62f2backed Yes	56c	41.07$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No	44c	39.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes	39c	38.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fe…7537backed Yes	31c	37.86$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4616…e881backed Yes	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…e85cbacked Yes	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3a6…2bb8backed Yes	56c	32.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353a…25ebbacked Yes	55c	32.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41dc…fecbbacked Yes	67c	29.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9cc…29b3backed Yes	55c	29.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4053…5c78backed Yes	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3826…84efbacked Yes	55c	24.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Switzerland win?this page
Will Scotland win?No won
Will the match be a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Switzerland win?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event