Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51645dbb72ac321179c82492d1e0fe5e83a5ba036dd155259b0bc4a203558188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 20c | 18,800$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed Yes | 3c | 9,812$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 24c | 8,774$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9f1bbacked Yes | 31c | 5,674$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 77c | 4,067$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.54 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…024bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,998$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…24cbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,844$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed Yes | 23c | 2,700$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…f3c0backed Yes | 10c | 2,451$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 79c | 2,405$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed No | 76c | 2,371$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,321$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed No | 76c | 2,081$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…5881backed Yes | 24c | 2,047$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…092fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,950$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 75c | 1,870$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.03 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 69c | 1,842$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…fc5ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,818$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 22c | 1,712$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.93 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed No | 61c | 1,629$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 29c | 1,562$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6539backed Yes | 19c | 1,545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed No | 71c | 1,514$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.85 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…deafbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 72c | 1,484$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…8a04backed Yes | 14c | 1,464$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,456$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 13c | 1,431$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…3d42backed No | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed No | 77c | 1,366$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…6bd0backed No | 75c | 1,328$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…2523backed Yes | 37c | 1,322$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…645ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,271$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Yes | 29c | 1,240$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed Yes | 20c | 1,238$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…6498backed Yes | 10c | 1,183$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…35aabacked Yes | 37c | 1,146$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…168cbacked No | 73c | 1,125$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 67c | 1,071$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.58 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 62c | 1,009$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…c19dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b84bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…0a6ebacked Yes | 19c | 999.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…85aabacked Yes | 18c | 925.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 10c | 919.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 69c | 907.34$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…bf12backed Yes | 35c | 847.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…3ffcbacked Yes | 45c | 811.05$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…ed29backed Yes | 44c | 808.49$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaa…44c4backed Yes | 24c | 800$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…b855backed Yes | 50c | 777.92$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed No | 71c | 767.59$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 17c | 754.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f9b5backed No | 71c | 751.19$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed No | 77c | 733.51$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…edf9backed No | 68c | 728.7$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…9793backed Yes | 26c | 721.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…1039backed No | 74c | 672.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9e…83d9backed No | 78c | 660.33$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…7c0fbacked Yes | 26c | 630.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…8731backed No | 63c | 620.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…c060backed No | 80c | 616$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 76c | 599.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…3f96backed Yes | 25c | 544.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…8e5abacked Yes | 9c | 534.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 11c | 501.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 15c | 480.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…1fefbacked No | 77c | 471.21$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 70c | 464.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…6c95backed No | 78c | 463.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…d61dbacked Yes | 22c | 461.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…001bbacked No | 67c | 460.95$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…38f4backed Yes | 17c | 419$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…27d3backed Yes | 19c | 417.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…472cbacked Yes | 32c | 416.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…5f3ebacked Yes | 23c | 414.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked No | 80c | 413.84$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 23c | 405$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081d…8c34backed No | 71c | 400$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked No | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…f197backed Yes | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…a3dabacked No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…eea0backed Yes | 32c | 393.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…2965backed Yes | 33c | 365.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…e5cfbacked No | 65c | 354.94$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…45e5backed Yes | 21c | 351.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked No | 68c | 342.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 73c | 341.71$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…c7bcbacked Yes | 46c | 322.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked No | 74c | 320.57$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed Yes | 36c | 318.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked No | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 22c | 305.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…95f1backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.