Premier League · resolved market
Will Portugal win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523aaf21d44e9f89e09759c19f8ccec5b9f7a847e5edb733c1006204d4e0be48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 69c | 42,757$29,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,314.94 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked No | 30c | 27,508$8,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,356.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 33c | 16,548$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.29 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…7036backed Yes | 67c | 10,887$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked Yes | 67c | 9,085$6,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.05 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…3587backed Yes | 69c | 7,246$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 34c | 5,698$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 5,139$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.65 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 31c | 3,096$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.57 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…b541backed Yes | 72c | 2,818$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…c0b8backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked Yes | 68c | 813.28$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…20a0backed Yes | 66c | 757.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…25a3backed Yes | 68c | 734.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 66c | 545.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c114backed Yes | 67c | 444.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 78c | 407.89$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd47…aa89backed Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 32c | 327$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 31c | 313.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed Yes | 68c | 297.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 67c | 296.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 68c | 291$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…eca6backed No | 36c | 264.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Yes | 70c | 259.41$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…30dbbacked Yes | 67c | 222.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…d9bebacked Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Yes | 68c | 213.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…e94abacked Yes | 66c | 211.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…7777backed Yes | 67c | 171.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…96a2backed Yes | 69c | 158.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…c835backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…6c59backed Yes | 66c | 148.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…e84fbacked Yes | 69c | 144.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…3c92backed Yes | 69c | 144.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…916abacked Yes | 68c | 140.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…e2d6backed Yes | 48c | 122.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…7c74backed Yes | 67c | 114.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 68c | 110.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…14a4backed Yes | 70c | 106.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…3e81backed Yes | 65c | 103.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 65c | 103.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…e3e5backed Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Yes | 68c | 98.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.3wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…7427backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…0241backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2029…9aa5backed Yes | 67c | 74.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Yes | 65c | 71.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…eacdbacked Yes | 43c | 68.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed No | 32c | 61.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…f7c3backed Yes | 66c | 59.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…bdc4backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…b668backed Yes | 67c | 44.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…027cbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…11a0backed Yes | 76c | 40.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…429cbacked No | 50c | 35.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 66c | 34.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…5ae1backed Yes | 68c | 32.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…0c67backed Yes | 63c | 32.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9f58backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…5008backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…efe0backed Yes | 68c | 30.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf22…d46ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…1d3cbacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…d92cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…419cbacked Yes | 64c | 29.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…0de6backed Yes | 69c | 26.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…2632backed Yes | 67c | 24.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…348abacked Yes | 66c | 24.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 65c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ade8backed Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1553…535ebacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…2b5dbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e6…3b42backed Yes | 69c | 19.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…7081backed Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…1909backed Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win?this page
- Will Czechia win?No won
- Will the match be a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.