Premier League · resolved market
Will France win Group D?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e3d5b50da3c4bd98c527d8d34195f3adb10198c7c45f36c1e09f4efd63ebca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 61c | 919.45$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d2…62e0backed Yes | 62c | 915.41$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…ed6fbacked Yes | 70c | 710.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 58c | 517$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 61c | 488.96$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4b…3f53backed Yes | 62c | 451.61$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…4ba5backed Yes | 63c | 412.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed No | 39c | 395.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…1ceebacked Yes | 58c | 358.54$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 67c | 318.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 60c | 300.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 38c | 251.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…96a2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…10b4backed Yes | 74c | 147.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 34c | 130.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed Yes | 60c | 128$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 27c | 127.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c114backed Yes | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Yes | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.3wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…088abacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…b84abacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 35c | 99.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…1d90backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…1897backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…4dd5backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…0b36backed Yes | 61c | 79.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 61c | 79.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…321fbacked Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed Yes | 59c | 66.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 34c | 64.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 64c | 54.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…da89backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…7f92backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed3…30a5backed Yes | 62c | 43.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…4feabacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 60c | 42.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…785cbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…89d1backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…066cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…0de6backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…08edbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…7138backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb087…b60abacked Yes | 64c | 32.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…7a6cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…1909backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…6540backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e60…a3f2backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96af…3e21backed Yes | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…d92cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…b1d1backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…5d28backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abf…5e45backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdc…770fbacked Yes | 67c | 23.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…417abacked Yes | 61c | 22.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd47…996abacked Yes | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…b08ebacked Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…d76fbacked Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7c…16e3backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f71…6e31backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…6238backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…37b8backed Yes | 78c | 18.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…1fb7backed Yes | 65c | 18.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…3f8bbacked No | 63c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…c050backed Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…52ebbacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…d1f9backed Yes | 59c | 17.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa093…1198backed Yes | 61c | 17.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…d7c8backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd300…4005backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…292ebacked Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…a113backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0589…447bbacked Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…95efbacked Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…1f61backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win Group D?this page
- Will Austria win Group D?Yes won
- Will Netherlands win Group D?No won
- Will Poland win Group D?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.