Fifa International · resolved market
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4c9b030790b8192b920a4805c79521d3814fa6bf802d2b02907129d0c2e9dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 52c | 9,099$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.84 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 55c | 7,013$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.7 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 4,751$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 47c | 4,494$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.13 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 3,772$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 3,770$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 3,611$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.43 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 47c | 2,798$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.34 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 45c | 1,854$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.48 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f538backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 1,355$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.5 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 1,207$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 1,199$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.81 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 1,192$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.41 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.29 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 1,009$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.76 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 32c | 937$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.16 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 46c | 867.87$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed Over | 74c | 831.77$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 48c | 830.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.58 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 760.74$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 46c | 758.7$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…6210backed Over | 32c | 638.68$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 41c | 624.44$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.42 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 549.84$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.01 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 540.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 513.68$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 60c | 489.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6f77backed Over | 69c | 430.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 402.78$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 74c | 387.58$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 74c | 347.89$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 338.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 336.72$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 57c | 322.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 47c | 310.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 54c | 277.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 38c | 261.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 254.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 252.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 244.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 47c | 236.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 55c | 235.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 55c | 217.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 46c | 213$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Over | 48c | 210.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 58c | 202.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 40c | 186$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 46c | 185.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 162.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 71c | 159.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Under | 38c | 158.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 49c | 157.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 141.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…4e56backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 129.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 128.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 123.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 71c | 122.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Over | 46c | 112.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 54c | 104.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 101.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 54c | 100.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 45c | 100.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Over | 45c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 94.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 93.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 93.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…bdcabacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 53c | 89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 44c | 87.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 36c | 79.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 75.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 56c | 67.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Under | 37c | 66.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 54c | 64.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…9c48backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 47c | 53.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 47c | 52.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…9975backed Under | 51c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Over | 68c | 44.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5this page
- Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)Poland won
- Spread: Poland (-1.5)Nigeria won
- Spread: Poland (-2.5)Nigeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.