Fifa International · resolved market
Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f133241f5576f2126b2f53c548732cb35a377f54f5d732bed583b06c1b1f65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 52c | 4,933$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.43 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 54c | 4,624$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.7 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed No | 49c | 4,325$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 49c | 2,819$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 2,745$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.23 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,246$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 1,878$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.11 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 48c | 1,522$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,434$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.96 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,119$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.69 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes | 50c | 899.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 51c | 883.86$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.09 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 45c | 881.7$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.76 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 51c | 812.61$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.18 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 39c | 755$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.02 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 715$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 48c | 609.27$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…61bebacked Yes | 51c | 528.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 518.83$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 436.34$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.19 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 434.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 54c | 372.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 346.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 54c | 332.31$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 51c | 297.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 15c | 255.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 52c | 247.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 47c | 213.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 54c | 185.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 183.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…c00dbacked Yes | 54c | 181.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 46c | 151.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 45c | 134.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 52c | 115.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Yes | 58c | 70.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 47c | 65.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 59.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…b419backed Yes | 53c | 56.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 51.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Yes | 50c | 44.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 47c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 51c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…53d5backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…c91ebacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 53c | 26.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 25.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 53c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 42c | 25.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…f953backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…7556backed Yes | 51c | 21.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Yes | 75c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)Poland won
- Spread: Poland (-1.5)Nigeria won
- Spread: Poland (-2.5)Nigeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.