Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573b9f8be9046cbcef8e0808d180bd92c131ec0fb8f2ff7942c5c6d5942346f1

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,198 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under	61c	20,000$12,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,199.99	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	39c	16,634$6,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,146.65	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	35c	6,490$2,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,237.4	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	72c	2,893$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.88	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over	70c	2,275$1,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.68	205	60%123 W · 82 L	+17.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	63c	2,000$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…5453backed Over	7c	2,000$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,861.77	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under	8c	1,757$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.4	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	7.4%4 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+123.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under	23c	1,183$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	63c	1,013$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.15	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	24c	958.73$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.02	101	57.4%58 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over	35c	913.57$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.82	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	34c	883.91$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.91	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	34c	753.18$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.18	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under	65c	555$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.32	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	25c	459.19$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.72	239	40.6%97 W · 142 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	31c	454.2$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.46	238	57.6%137 W · 101 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over	38c	421.53$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.35	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	66c	402.89$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.66	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	25c	393.74$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.17	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	38c	385.42$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.96	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over	38c	315.79$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.79	174	59.8%104 W · 70 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	61c	310$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.1	234	40.2%94 W · 140 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over	22c	285$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.12	115	20%23 W · 92 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under	71c	282.79$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under	76c	263.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over	38c	263.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.16	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	38c	253.74$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.32	197	46.2%91 W · 106 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under	64c	250$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under	61c	225$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.22	112	38.4%43 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-22%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under	15c	206.84$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	16c	198.21$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.85	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under	26c	185.4$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.03	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	75c	176.04$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.97	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	40c	175$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over	33c	164$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.58	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	75c	155.31$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.89	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	25c	150.32$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.74	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over	38c	131.59$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.13	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	75c	124$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	25c	120$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under	27c	110.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	70c	108$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.92	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over	73c	98.84$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.69	377	47.7%180 W · 197 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	75c	86.46$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.85	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fb…3561backed Over	40c	81.2$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	34c	80$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Over	40c	75.48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.48	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over	25c	68.71$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.61	203	30.5%62 W · 141 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over	23c	68.13$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.46	172	18.6%32 W · 140 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under	80c	62.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	119	65.5%78 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	27c	62.39$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.54	122	50%61 W · 61 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa3…95c6backed Under	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+236.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over	24c	56.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.31	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Under	72c	56.34$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.55	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Over	36c	56.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.25	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under	66c	56.18$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	152	57.9%88 W · 64 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	75c	56.05$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.03	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over	38c	54$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.48	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	78c	51.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.28	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Over	39c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under	60c	49.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	165	56.4%93 W · 72 L	-17.5wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under	67c	42.85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.54	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Under	76c	41.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over	37c	40.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.07	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Over	39c	38$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.18	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17f…92d8backed Over	38c	36.76$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	72c	34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over	35c	31.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.54	113	64.6%73 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1958…9975backed Under	68c	31.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	44cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	242	57.9%140 W · 102 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under	73c	27.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	187	64.2%120 W · 67 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	78.2%43 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	72cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	75c	25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	76c	19.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Under	78c	13.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-7.5wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5this page
Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5Over won
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Over won
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)Poland won
Spread: Poland (-1.5)Nigeria won
Spread: Poland (-2.5)Nigeria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event