TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,751 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c12,241$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,925.572,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over78c2,305$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.1114351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under27c1,877$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.2933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under65c1,873$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.373271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,660$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.881,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over80c1,500$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under24c1,111$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.345538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c1,049$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over62c1,040$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c953.72$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over60c777.27$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Over71c695.9$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under30c681.34$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.5111136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under10c600$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5381421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+195.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under22c570.24$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.221050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over64c468.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over34c461.83$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over73c455$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.49137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over60c402.84$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2435655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-81.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.331030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over36c324.34$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1174231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…c7b4backed Over64c296.27$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over73c274.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over23c270.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.064623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over37c269.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0214549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Over21c216.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Over72c206.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3316…dc46backed Over75c199.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under20c176.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.184146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under72c166$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over76c163.72$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.425540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over19c161.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over54c155$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over71c142.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under21c140.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Under36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+122%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over25c129.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c128.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over76c122$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over53c119.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.618125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb20…16a1backed Over68c117.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under40c111.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c107.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over56c98.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Under21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over63c94.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8722…9c7cbacked Under30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed Over27c74.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090f…5a82backed Over62c72.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c71.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over38c69.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac8d…67e1backed Over72c66.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under21c64.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0910353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under69c62.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over80c62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.63357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfead…f35abacked Over47c61.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over57c61.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.964535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over28c59.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.593225%8 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0ca…e89fbacked Under35c59.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.725100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over71c59.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.034751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18f…073fbacked Over64c59.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a1f…b12cbacked Over72c55.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over74c54.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Under42c54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under28c53.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8321251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…9230backed Over52c53.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…cdc3backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under24c48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9710759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under24c45.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.835644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…801ebacked Over71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Under30c41.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Over53c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under48c39.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over70c36.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.474557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.