TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,079 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over46c12,656$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,821.988743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c9,670$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.222348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c5,079$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over46c2,763$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.976048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under56c1,791$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over33c1,517$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.91421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under51c1,467$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.832650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under54c1,388$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.486659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over52c1,300$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.863438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under50c1,052$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.031747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c971.27$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.121,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over39c862.18$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.885538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…c7b4backed Over49c811.8$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c734.7$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6120544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over47c642.55$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over16c607.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x883c…474dbacked Over17c582.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under43c580$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.61225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under54c555.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.754748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Under55c516.31$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.343542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c512.88$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over45c503.88$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7911349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9915042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over37c440.84$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over29c432.53$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8339740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under43c418.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.64047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under54c399.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Under58c387.93$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under55c379.96$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over44c356.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under56c265.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over46c254.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1177464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over59c252.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under80c244.1$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+51.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Under72c228.66$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.023100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c221$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2114936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over46c214.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over40c210.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9611136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over47c180.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under53c169.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7212657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Under54c157.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c145$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under54c144$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.84252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under54c141.04$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.284557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under58c139.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.394837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c131.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under54c125.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8919542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under54c100.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.24146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c99.55$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd3…5314backed Under60c97.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201b…9795backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over45c93.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0216340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over14c92.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over38c92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3714549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…077ebacked Over47c76.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under61c76.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.610353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over28c71.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9931958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under55c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c65.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8765254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Under68c58.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.766366.7%42 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over46c53.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+132.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.035644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under47c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1810759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203850%19 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over46c44.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under54c42.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c41.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over46c41.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3813350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over45c35.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.884751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under54c34.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.962045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880d…db9fbacked Under75c34.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Under55c34.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.410451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over47c33.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.