Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a29f6bd3e60d1513a4f1d4447e9abd88d222114a67241504c25123c6f054025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 46c | 12,656$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.98 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 9,670$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.2 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 5,079$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.92 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 46c | 2,763$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.97 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 56c | 1,791$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 33c | 1,517$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 51c | 1,467$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.48 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 1,300$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Under | 50c | 1,052$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 971.27$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.12 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 39c | 862.18$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c7b4backed Over | 49c | 811.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 734.7$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.61 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 47c | 642.55$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 16c | 607.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 17c | 582.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Under | 43c | 580$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 555.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Under | 55c | 516.31$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 512.88$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 45c | 503.88$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.79 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 440.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 29c | 432.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Under | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 55c | 379.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 356.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 56c | 265.09$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 46c | 254.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 59c | 252.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 80c | 244.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Under | 72c | 228.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 221$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 46c | 214.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 40c | 210.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 53c | 169.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Under | 54c | 157.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 54c | 144$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 54c | 141.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 58c | 139.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 131.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 54c | 125.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 54c | 100.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 99.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed Under | 60c | 97.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9795backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 93.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 14c | 92.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…077ebacked Over | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 61c | 76.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 71.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 65.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 68c | 58.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 46c | 53.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 46c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 54c | 42.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 41.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 46c | 41.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 35.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 54c | 34.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…db9fbacked Under | 75c | 34.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Under | 55c | 34.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Over | 47c | 33.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.