La Liga · resolved market
Mallorca vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef24d9e18b7765e759a1c41460b328162b538feaf92c47566405a5c744ff646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 17,661$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,171.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 58c | 13,000$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 1c | 11,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Under | 45c | 4,700$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 56c | 2,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.93 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Over | 59c | 1,409$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 59c | 847.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 42c | 765.31$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.6 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 41c | 760.44$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.66 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over | 68c | 700.04$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.65 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 332.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 56c | 195.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 36c | 182$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 57c | 176.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 41c | 172.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 54c | 140.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 46c | 108.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 56c | 61.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 56c | 37.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 34c | 35.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Over | 57c | 31.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 69cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb3…8b32backed Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mallorca vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5this page
- Mallorca vs. Getafe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Mallorca (-0.5)Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.