West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3737bdb94e66011a0e0aed2dfd4f04ca68e02afccb2ef6a5c9419d8873ab7f5d

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,063 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	23c	11,101$2,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,529.17	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over	77c	4,598$3,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.83	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over	77c	3,912$3,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.7	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.99	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over	76c	2,999$2,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.76	41	61%25 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under	3c	2,666$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.98	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over	77c	970.86$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.86	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under	23c	832.39$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.6	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	25c	736.1$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.86	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Under	6c	704.63$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.23	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	77c	649.35$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.35	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	76c	400$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	18c	368.39$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.12	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over	77c	351.22$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.78	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	69cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	20c	350.08$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.02	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce1…19f3backed Over	76c	316.63$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.99	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Under	26c	307.69$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	25c	292.61$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.15	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	73c	287.56$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.94	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	73c	239.71$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.72	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Over	76c	156.74$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	77c	148$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.54	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	75c	140$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	76c	131.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.93	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under	20c	131.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	209	31.6%66 W · 143 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde8…15a1backed Over	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	65cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	18c	128.35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under	23c	120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	331	56.8%188 W · 143 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under	23c	120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	315	57.8%182 W · 133 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under	23c	119.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under	23c	119.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	290	57.9%168 W · 122 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Under	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Over	75c	111.85$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.96	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	16c	106$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over	75c	103.55$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.89	112	65.2%73 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over	74c	84.45$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.96	271	73.8%200 W · 71 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	76cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under	24c	83.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1602…43dcbacked Over	75c	76$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Under	26c	75.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.23per pick	56cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under	14c	75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	232	20.7%48 W · 184 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Over	74c	61$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	277	52%144 W · 133 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Over	76c	53.16$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Over	77c	51.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Under	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	164	45.7%75 W · 89 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Under	26c	49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Over	76c	47.37$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.37	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x431c…276bbacked Under	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a3…40b9backed Over	75c	39.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Over	76c	35.61$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81c7…8b51backed Over	75c	34.09$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.52	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over	76c	33.95$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.15	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c1…1fc1backed Over	76c	33.28$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.99	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	74c	32.7$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	77c	32.47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.47	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9063…3cc8backed Over	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	75cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	75c	29.47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.37	158	66.5%105 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over	74c	26.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.89	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ff…4770backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	88	67%59 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Over	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x455c…1c25backed Over	75c	21.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	209	58.9%123 W · 86 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-8.4wins	-0.19per pick	72cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	76c	19.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-6.6wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked Over	76c	19.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…2233backed Over	76c	17.86$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over	76c	16.39$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.93	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over	80c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event