TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd62…8acfbacked Over42c50,000$20,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,996728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c37,303$22,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,561.146,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Over0c35,399$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.941225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-55.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf757…575dbacked Over0c9,924$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under71c7,877$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.271,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under80c5,555$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11118259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ed7…eb18backed Over0c3,264$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over29c2,647$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.081,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c2,059$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.614,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under74c2,000$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9210960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Under74c1,761$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.5910768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Under72c1,232$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.082650%13 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over26c1,126$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6929427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under78c1,104$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4316753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Under80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Under80c999$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.810751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over15c675.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over22c666$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2724158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Under76c512.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.392556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over29c478.27$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.760728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.736262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under72c399.98$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9910874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under73c339.45$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.844860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under71c338.86$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over29c322$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.381,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under71c302.61$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under79c301.28$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over27c299.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over14c240.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7711255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under78c220.63$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5431849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over29c200.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6810448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under79c200$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under73c186$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.223366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under73c184.93$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.934060%24 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under71c162$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under77c156.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.119048.4%92 W · 98 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over17c150.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1720931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over9c124$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3711712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe70e…588ebacked Under73c123.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over42c123$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1319853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over17c121.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e93…e4f7backed Over13c119.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under67c119$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8417744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over15c112.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.266735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over29c112.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6333753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under71c106$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.441,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under77c105.49$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.392462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Under59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.225129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over28c91.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over30c82.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under69c79.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x527d…f227backed Over14c78.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under63c77.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0742658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5724340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under78c64.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.178759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over25c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d4…7387backed Over26c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under73c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.312657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over23c51.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.756735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over28c50.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over27c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Over27c43.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Over27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.612040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under79c41.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over27c40.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8858445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Under74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under71c39.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4227141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under77c36.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a3…40b9backed Under71c35.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed Over29c34.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a51…14bfbacked Under77c33.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0313450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d9b…c789backed Under75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Under77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.757753.2%41 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked Under73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Under78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.381838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.