Fifa International · resolved market
Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c16010f6db7423da5bd8d50e5ea0b22394221d0ccecf0a65a2736330409594f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 150,000$35,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,868.93 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 76c | 86,966$66,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,815.45 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 22c | 50,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 34,808$26,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,905.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 76c | 25,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 76c | 10,146$7,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.13 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 78c | 9,581$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.72 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 78c | 3,365$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.4 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 22c | 2,542$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 22c | 2,363$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 77c | 2,228$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.44 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 2,203$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.06 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 78c | 2,016$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.42 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…0964backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.28 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 23c | 1,532$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.47 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 17c | 1,427$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…784ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,420$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 70c | 1,267$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.74 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 54c | 1,108$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.96 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 23c | 999.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 18c | 999.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 19c | 999.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.88 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 11c | 894.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 78c | 860.26$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 816.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 79c | 803$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 6c | 795$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 76c | 743.38$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 77c | 709.69$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 661.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 21c | 632.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 79c | 618.21$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…2e3bbacked Yes | 78c | 603.37$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 78c | 574.28$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 76c | 559.21$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 76c | 524$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 38c | 475.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 19c | 425.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 9c | 408.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 16c | 354.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 78c | 336.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 24c | 335.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 78c | 334.49$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 24c | 319.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 17c | 318.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 16c | 314.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 290.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 77c | 256.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…3da0backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 16c | 250.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 78c | 240.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 34c | 235.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 233.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 16c | 211$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…ed5fbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 199.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 17c | 197$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 16c | 189.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…46c4backed Yes | 77c | 184$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 78c | 182.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 16c | 175.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 49c | 173$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 171.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 66c | 170.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 16c | 170.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 16c | 168$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 17c | 164.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 16c | 157.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 77c | 140.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 17c | 121.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 117.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 78c | 115.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…dda6backed Yes | 78c | 92.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 78c | 91.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 58c | 89.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Gibraltar vs. Montenegro end in a draw?No won
- Will Gibraltar win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.