Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a372bc18f1fad635baea23b69eaa30a0fed30cfcc38d44d9be4ff132e16d767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 72c | 1,366$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,050$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 886.05$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.35 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 70c | 835.59$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 27c | 783.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 737.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.42 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 77c | 458.58$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 72c | 348.79$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 27c | 218.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 12c | 182.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 164.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 17c | 151.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 140.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 74c | 132.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 78c | 120.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 23c | 119.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 118.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 67c | 106.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Over | 72c | 105.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 26c | 81.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 67c | 80.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 74c | 77.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 69.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 70c | 57.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 24c | 52.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 52.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Under | 19c | 51.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 69c | 50.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 72c | 49.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Under | 29c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 71c | 31.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…1fb0backed Over | 72c | 25.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…7673backed Over | 72c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 71c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d84…7b78backed Over | 72c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.