TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c6,165$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.4432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under49c4,703$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.273863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under41c4,508$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c2,232$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over56c2,100$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9241717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff2…da71backed Under52c2,023$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.986839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over46c1,553$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.379054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c1,272$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.419952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over31c1,212$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.523450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over48c1,211$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7211348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c1,210$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.16328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c1,168$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.481,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over43c1,122$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.293040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Over48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.775131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over52c1,002$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c974.22$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.2441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c944.8$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.742,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over51c878.39$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.411861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Under60c814.96$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Over61c796.49$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under47c619.92$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.435166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under9c553.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick10cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under53c507.9$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.192161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over47c449.58$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.524746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c449.58$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5215244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c429.78$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c406.6$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over47c395.71$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.068453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over43c392.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.562927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over60c325.01$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under47c306.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.414973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over48c280.87$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.053828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c277.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7954…665bbacked Under53c269.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over41c256.19$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0613826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over65c250.02$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13039354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over63c237.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.052240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under66c237.92$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0311346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.812356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over48c233.4$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.373426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Under42c232.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c227.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under60c215.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6610451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Under45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over48c207.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under56c199.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.512466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over46c197.2$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.497740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over47c194.89$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9614752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over47c179.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.458232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over64c170.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c170$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over60c163.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over61c161.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.572152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under54c145.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.912250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under37c138.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2710759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under11c138.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.433030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under53c128.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.032454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over46c128.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.292839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3417058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Under62c122.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over49c121.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.793056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8114845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under66c118.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.185170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under66c118.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1717354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under52c117.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.969857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under25c116.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0918125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over50c115.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over61c113.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over40c110.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5913653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5910358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c99.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over47c99.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…687abacked Over61c97.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Over48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.385554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe23b…df94backed Over34c96.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over43c89.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2115238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over35c75.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.799561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under54c71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.841070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over39c67.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.273831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Over46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0810242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under55c58.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.322934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over46c58.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.354566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c52.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.286347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over78c51.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.349576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Under37c51.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.