Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf74757ec4397b78fb679f885358d67e6c57f6f5109decf9f566422f3be02f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 0c | 18,613$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 6,513$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 75c | 3,595$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 21c | 3,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 1,454$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 17c | 1,139$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Over | 26c | 1,038$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 23c | 912.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 17c | 649.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 80c | 612.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 79c | 589.43$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 17c | 482.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 409.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 394.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 77c | 382.81$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 80c | 308.74$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 27c | 255.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 9c | 246.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 24c | 242.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 25c | 229.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 65c | 177.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 27c | 162.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…fe57backed Over | 10c | 162.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 9c | 132.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 72c | 88.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 16c | 71.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 80c | 61.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 80c | 61.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 76c | 57.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 25c | 49.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Under | 74c | 46.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 77c | 38.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 55c | 37.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 63c | 37.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 30.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 80c | 22.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 80c | 22.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 75c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 76c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 75c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 78c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.